Victorian election 2026: Concern and scepticism among Labor MPs as new poll shows party trailing One Nation

<p>Ben Carroll refuses to be drawn on latest opinion poll that puts Labor at all-time low of just 18%, behind One Nation on 21% and the Coalition on 33%</p><ul><li><p>Get our <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/email-newsletters?CMP=cvau_sfl">daily political email</a>, <a href="https://app.adjust.com/w4u7jx3">free app</a> or <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/series/full-story?CMP=cvau_sfl">daily news podcast</a></p></li></ul><p>Victorian Labor MPs are both sceptical and seriously concerned about a new poll ahead of the state election showing the party trailing third behind One Nation, with its primary vote at an all-time low of just 18%.</p><p>The DemosAU/PremierNational, <a href="https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/victoria/state-election/coalition-surges-to-5644-lead-as-victorian-labor-faces-catastrophic-state-election-wipeout/news-story/cfd77a95d33cd90b152b633f1f4642cb">first published</a> by the Herald Sun on Monday, showed Labor’s primary vote share has crashed seven points to 18%, putting it in third place behind the Coalition’s 33% and One Nation’s 21%. At the same time, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/nov/01/is-one-nation-losing-steam-victoria-new-polling-greens-state-election-ntwnfb">the Greens improved their primary vote</a> to 17%, an increase of three points since September.</p> <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/nov/09/victoria-election-2026-labor-mps-new-opinion-poll-one-nation-ntwnfb">Continue reading...</a>